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GripRoom
Probability
Politics
Food
Finance
Everything
Probability
Politics
Food
Finance
Everything
GripRoom Research 10/25/26 GripRoom Research 10/25/26

Russia Has a 3% Chance of Using a Nuclear Weapon in the Next Six Months (Not 50%)

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Luca Marino 5/2/26 Luca Marino 5/2/26

The Strait of Hormuz Disaster: Why OXY Could Hit $120 by Fall

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Luca Marino 4/16/26 Luca Marino 4/16/26

If Hormuz Stays Broken for Six More Months, the Real Economic Pain Hasn’t Even Started

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Luca Marino 4/14/26 Luca Marino 4/14/26

France Is Drawing a Line on Hormuz: End This Crisis in Weeks, or the Economic Damage Gets Much Worse

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Luca Marino 4/12/26 Luca Marino 4/12/26

U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) forces will begin implementing a blockade of all maritime traffic entering and exiting Iranian ports

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Luca Marino 4/12/26 Luca Marino 4/12/26

Trump’s Hormuz Blockade Threat Could Send Oil Soaring More Than 50%

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Luca Marino 3/25/26 Luca Marino 3/25/26

Why the Iran War Could Keep Oil Prices High for Much Longer

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Ava Fernandez 3/25/26 Ava Fernandez 3/25/26

Forget Kharg: Why Larak Island Could Decide the Strait of Hormuz Crisis

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Luca Marino 3/24/26 Luca Marino 3/24/26

82nd Airborne on Deck: Why the Iran War May Be About to Get Much Bigger

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Luca Marino 3/13/26 Luca Marino 3/13/26

Trump to Announce Boots on the Ground This Weekend?

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Luca Marino 3/13/26 Luca Marino 3/13/26

S&P Warns Iran War Could Hammer U.S. Credit as an Overvalued Stock Market Looks Increasingly Crash-Prone

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Gideon Black 3/13/26 Gideon Black 3/13/26

USS Tripoli and More Than 2,000 Marines Are Heading From Japan to the Middle East as the Iran War Widens

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Gideon Black 3/12/26 Gideon Black 3/12/26

Emergency Oil Releases May Be Too Slow for Asia as Hormuz Shock Keeps the Market Short

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Luca Marino 3/12/26 Luca Marino 3/12/26

OXY and the Oil Majors Are Finally Breaking Out as Wall Street Starts Pricing a Longer Oil Shock

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Luca Marino 3/11/26 Luca Marino 3/11/26

Drone Strike Hits Fuel Tanks at Oman’s Salalah Port, Forcing Operational Disruptions

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Luca Marino 3/11/26 Luca Marino 3/11/26

Iran Has Deployed a Dozen Naval Mines in the Strait of Hormuz

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Ava Fernandez 3/11/26 Ava Fernandez 3/11/26

Fertilizer Costs Are Spiking Because of the Iran War. Here’s How It Could Get Worse—and Why Food Prices Could Follow

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Jim Rogan 3/11/26 Jim Rogan 3/11/26

Israel Warns Lebanon: Restrain Hezbollah or National Infrastructure Could Be Next

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Luca Marino 3/11/26 Luca Marino 3/11/26

U.S. Warns Iran-Aligned Militias May Target American Oil Infrastructure in Iraq

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Maya Patel 3/11/26 Maya Patel 3/11/26

If the Houthis Start Launching Rockets at Israel Again, the War Gets Bigger Fast

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